I'm leaning this way, too, but it's strange that the most reliable recession predictors (yield curve inversion and the Sahm Rule) both signaled recession.
I'm not a macro guy, though, so I don't put a ton of faith in these various voodoos.
I'm leaning this way, too, but it's strange that the most reliable recession predictors (yield curve inversion and the Sahm Rule) both signaled recession.
I'm not a macro guy, though, so I don't put a ton of faith in these various voodoos.